just over 100 years ago, in the 1923 ontario election, a lot of people didn’t vote, as torrential winds, rain and lightning kept turnout down to a paltry 54.7 per cent, a record low to that time, and one that held for 84 years. in fact, the voter turnout in ottawa east in 1923 was only 36.2 per cent (a result, perhaps, of only two candidates — both liberals — contesting the riding).
it wasn’t until 2007, when liberal premier dalton mcguinty easily glided from one majority government to another, that the 1923 record for voter no-shows was worsted, with just 52.8 per cent of eligible ontarians finding their way to the polling stations.
electoral engagement with the province has mostly only declined since then.
in the four ontario general elections since 2007, only one saw a turnout higher than 52 per cent. that was in 2018, when a surge of anti-liberal sentiment pushed 56.7 per cent of eligible voters to give then-premier kathleen wynne the bum’s rush and install current premier doug ford and the progressive conservatives.
in the most recent election, in 2022, voter turnout plummeted to 44.06 per cent, the sort of apathy typically reserved for municipal elections. with ford comfortably ahead in recent polling, will the snap election that he is to call wednesday see turnout drop to below 40 per cent?